Elvis Alvarado

Active

Athletics · Pitcher

Age 276' 6" · 253 lbsThrows Right

FBaseball Overview

This young right-hander shows promising strikeout stuff with 50 K in his 2025 debut season, but the 2026 numbers reveal significant regression across nearly every metric—his ERA ballooned to 5.64 while his WHIP climbed to 1.12 in just 22.1 innings pitched. Alvarado remains a high-risk, high-reward pitching option who lacks a clear role as either a starter or reliable reliever, making him difficult to trust in most fantasy formats given his volatility and limited track record. His strikeout upside (he struck out 27 batters in limited 2026 action) could make him intriguing in deep leagues or as a lottery ticket, but control issues and inconsistency suggest he's better left on the waiver wire in standard leagues until he demonstrates sustained success. Fantasy managers should monitor his role and production closely before committing roster space, as his ceiling depends heavily on whether he can stabilize his ERA and WHIP during the second half of the season.

MLB Pitching

Year	Team	G	W	L	SV	ERA	WHIP	K	IP	BB
2025	Athletics	37	1	1	0	3.19	1.32	50	42.1	22
2026	Athletics	48	4	3	6	4.13	1.25	57	48.0	23
Career	Totals	85	5	4	6	3.69	1.28	107	90.1	45

Source: MLB Stats API · Multi-team seasons show combined totals — click to expand

Minor League Pitching

Year	Team	G	GS	W	L	SV	ERA	WHIP	K	IP	BB
2018	GCL Nationals	10	0	0	0	0	6.59	1.98	13	13.2	12
2019	3 teams▼	12	3	2	3	0	4.33	1.44	32	27.0	19
2021	Modesto Nuts	31	1	0	2	0	6.60	2.04	33	45.0	32
2022	3 teams▼	49	1	8	3	10	2.72	1.11	63	59.2	18
2023	3 teams▼	31	2	2	2	2	5.18	1.48	40	33	14
2024	2 teams▼	41	0	3	4	11	2.66	1.44	74	50.2	40
2025	Las Vegas Aviators	25	0	2	1	8	3.38	1.13	34	29.1	13
2026	Las Vegas Aviators	12	0	2	0	4	2.25	1.00	16	12.0	4
Career	Totals	212	7	19	15	35	4.07	1.44	307	272	152

Source: MLB Stats API · Multi-team seasons show combined totals — click to expand

Game Log2026 MLB

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Advanced Stats2026 season · via Baseball Savant

Click for year to year changes

FB Velo98.6 mph

Avg Spin2283 rpm

Whiff %31.1%

K %28.2%

BB %11.8%

Hard Hit %48.7%

Barrel %14.8%

xERA4.53

xBA Against0.208

xSLG Against0.427

BA Against0.213

SLG Against0.420

What These Stats Mean

FB Velo — Average fastball velocity. Harder throwers generate more swings and misses, setting up every other pitch in their arsenal. Velocity is the foundation of strikeout upside.

Avg Spin — Average spin rate across all pitches. Higher spin creates more movement and makes pitches harder to square up — elite spinners run better strikeout and batting average against numbers.

Whiff % — Swings-and-misses per swing. The most direct measure of a pitcher's ability to miss bats and the best leading indicator of strikeout rate.

K % — Strikeout rate per batter faced. The core fantasy pitching stat — high K% means reliable strikeout totals that hold up even in shorter starts.

BB % — Walk rate per batter faced. The primary control metric. High BB% tanks ERA and WHIP and keeps baserunners on constantly. Elite starters typically run below 7%.

Hard Hit % — Percentage of batted balls hit 95 mph or harder against. Low hard-hit% means weak contact, protecting both ERA and the defense behind the pitcher.

Barrel % — Percentage of batted balls barreled against. The most direct home run predictor — low barrel% pitchers rarely give up long balls.

xERA — Expected ERA based on contact quality allowed, removing the effect of sequencing, luck, and defense. Better predictor of future ERA than ERA itself.

xBA Against — Expected batting average opponents should hit based on contact quality. A gap between xBA and actual BA indicates unsustainable luck in either direction.

xSLG Against — Expected slugging allowed based on contact quality. High xSLG against predicts future extra-base damage; low xSLG means the pitcher is genuinely suppressing power.

BA Against — Actual batting average opponents are hitting — a key WHIP component. Check xBA to see if the number is sustainable.

SLG Against — Actual slugging allowed. Captures hits, doubles, triples, and home runs — lower means the pitcher is limiting the power damage he gives up.

GB% — Ground ball rate. High GB% pitchers generate double plays, limit home runs, and keep the ball in the park — great for protecting ERA and WHIP ratios.

FB% — Fly ball rate. High FB% pitchers give up more air contact — dangerous when combined with high exit velocity, less so when contact is soft.

Loading player data...

Year

Team

ERA

WHIP

2025

Athletics

3.19

1.32

42.1

2026

Athletics

4.13

1.25

48.0

Career

Totals

3.69

1.28

107

90.1

Year

Team

ERA

WHIP

2018

GCL Nationals

6.59

1.98

13.2

2019

3 teams▼

4.33

1.44

27.0

2021

Modesto Nuts

6.60

2.04

45.0

2022

3 teams▼

2.72

1.11

59.2

2023

3 teams▼

5.18

1.48

2024

2 teams▼

2.66

1.44

50.2

2025

Las Vegas Aviators

3.38

1.13

29.1

2026

Las Vegas Aviators

2.25

1.00

12.0

Career

Totals

212

4.07

1.44

307

272

152