Aaron Ashby

Active

Milwaukee Brewers · Pitcher

Age 286' 0" · 194 lbsThrows Left

FBaseball Overview

After a stellar 2025 campaign that saw him post a 2.16 ERA with 76 strikeouts across limited innings, Ashby enters 2026 as a reliable mid-rotation arm for Milwaukee with legitimate dual-category upside. Through early action this season, he's maintained elite ERA credentials (3.24) while punching out 68 strikeouts over 50 innings, though an uptick in WHIP to 1.36 suggests some control fluctuations worth monitoring. His win-loss record of 11-1 reflects strong run support, but fantasy managers should temper expectations around wins as a predictable stat while banking on his ability to accumulate strikeouts and maintain sub-3.50 ERA numbers. The All-Star credentials from his minor league days underscore his pedigree, making him a solid depth piece who can deliver value across multiple fantasy categories if his 2025 velocity and efficiency translate consistently throughout the full season.

MLB Pitching

Year	Team	G	GS	W	L	SV	ERA	WHIP	K	IP	BB
2021	Milwaukee Brewers	13	4	3	2	1	4.55	1.17	39	31.2	12
2022	Milwaukee Brewers	27	19	2	10	1	4.44	1.43	126	107.1	47
2024	Milwaukee Brewers	14	2	1	2	0	2.86	1.06	33	28.1	10
2025	Milwaukee Brewers	43	1	5	2	3	2.16	1.17	76	66.2	24
2026	Milwaukee Brewers	42	1	12	1	0	3.25	1.39	70	52.2	28
Career	Totals	139	27	23	17	5	3.55	1.29	344	286.2	121

Source: MLB Stats API · Multi-team seasons show combined totals — click to expand

Minor League Pitching

Year	Team	G	GS	W	L	SV	ERA	WHIP	K	IP	BB
2018	2 teams▼	13	10	2	3	1	3.59	1.30	66	57.2	17
2019	2 teams▼	24	23	5	10	0	3.50	1.28	135	126	60
2021	Nashville Sounds	21	12	5	4	0	4.41	1.37	100	63.1	32
2023	3 teams▼	7	6	0	3	0	15.43	3.00	7	7	14
2024	Nashville Sounds	25	14	4	7	0	8.04	2.00	92	84.0	73
2025	2 teams▼	5	1	0	1	0	4.91	1.77	5	7.1	7
Career	Totals	95	66	16	28	1	5.06	1.52	405	345.1	203

Source: MLB Stats API · Multi-team seasons show combined totals — click to expand

Game Log2026 season

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Pitching Analytics2026 season · via Baseball Savant

Click for year to year changes

FB Velo97.5 mph

Avg Spin2266 rpm

Whiff %31.4%

K %30.6%

BB %12.2%

Hard Hit %39.5%

Barrel %4.7%

xERA3.07

xBA Against0.204

xSLG Against0.292

BA Against0.228

SLG Against0.325

GB%51.2%

FB%20.9%

What These Stats Mean

FB Velo — Average fastball velocity. Harder throwers generate more swings and misses, setting up every other pitch in their arsenal. Velocity is the foundation of strikeout upside.

Avg Spin — Average spin rate across all pitches. Higher spin creates more movement and makes pitches harder to square up — elite spinners run better strikeout and batting average against numbers.

Whiff % — Swings-and-misses per swing. The most direct measure of a pitcher's ability to miss bats and the best leading indicator of strikeout rate.

K % — Strikeout rate per batter faced. The core fantasy pitching stat — high K% means reliable strikeout totals that hold up even in shorter starts.

BB % — Walk rate per batter faced. The primary control metric. High BB% tanks ERA and WHIP and keeps baserunners on constantly. Elite starters typically run below 7%.

Hard Hit % — Percentage of batted balls hit 95 mph or harder against. Low hard-hit% means weak contact, protecting both ERA and the defense behind the pitcher.

Barrel % — Percentage of batted balls barreled against. The most direct home run predictor — low barrel% pitchers rarely give up long balls.

xERA — Expected ERA based on contact quality allowed, removing the effect of sequencing, luck, and defense. Better predictor of future ERA than ERA itself.

xBA Against — Expected batting average opponents should hit based on contact quality. A gap between xBA and actual BA indicates unsustainable luck in either direction.

xSLG Against — Expected slugging allowed based on contact quality. High xSLG against predicts future extra-base damage; low xSLG means the pitcher is genuinely suppressing power.

BA Against — Actual batting average opponents are hitting — a key WHIP component. Check xBA to see if the number is sustainable.

SLG Against — Actual slugging allowed. Captures hits, doubles, triples, and home runs — lower means the pitcher is limiting the power damage he gives up.

GB% — Ground ball rate. High GB% pitchers generate double plays, limit home runs, and keep the ball in the park — great for protecting ERA and WHIP ratios.

FB% — Fly ball rate. High FB% pitchers give up more air contact — dangerous when combined with high exit velocity, less so when contact is soft.

Loading player data...

Year

Team

ERA

WHIP

2021

Milwaukee Brewers

4.55

1.17

31.2

2022

Milwaukee Brewers

4.44

1.43

126

107.1

2024

Milwaukee Brewers

2.86

1.06

28.1

2025

Milwaukee Brewers

2.16

1.17

66.2

2026

Milwaukee Brewers

3.25

1.39

52.2

Career

Totals

139

3.55

1.29

344

286.2

121

Year

Team

ERA

WHIP

2018

2 teams▼

3.59

1.30

57.2

2019

2 teams▼

3.50

1.28

135

126

2021

Nashville Sounds

4.41

1.37

100

63.1

2023

3 teams▼

15.43

3.00

2024

Nashville Sounds

8.04

2.00

84.0

2025

2 teams▼

4.91

1.77

7.1

Career

Totals

5.06

1.52

405

345.1

203