Aaron Nola

Active

Philadelphia Phillies · Pitcher

Age 336' 2" · 200 lbsThrows Right

FBaseball Overview

At 33 years old, Nola continues to serve as a workhorse starter for Philadelphia despite declining results that have become a significant concern for fantasy managers. His 2026 season mirrors his 2025 struggles, with a 6.04 ERA and 1.49 WHIP that rank well below his All-Star and All-MLB pedigree, making him a risky rotation piece in most leagues. While he maintains modest strikeout production in the 85-97 K range per season, the inability to generate wins consistently—posting just a 3-5 record in 2026—limits his value in categories beyond strikeouts. At this stage of his career, Nola projects as a back-of-the-rotation option best suited for deep leagues or as a streaming consideration rather than a dependable fantasy asset.

MLB Pitching

Year	Team	G	GS	W	L	ERA	WHIP	K	IP	BB
2015	Philadelphia Phillies	13	13	6	2	3.59	1.20	68	77.2	19
2016	Philadelphia Phillies	20	20	6	9	4.78	1.31	121	111.0	29
2017	Philadelphia Phillies	27	27	12	11	3.54	1.21	184	168.0	49
2018	Philadelphia Phillies	33	33	17	6	2.37	0.97	224	212.1	58
2019	Philadelphia Phillies	34	34	12	7	3.87	1.27	229	202.1	80
2020	Philadelphia Phillies	12	12	5	5	3.28	1.08	96	71.1	23
2021	Philadelphia Phillies	32	32	9	9	4.63	1.13	223	180.2	39
2022	Philadelphia Phillies	32	32	11	13	3.25	0.96	235	205.0	29
2023	Philadelphia Phillies	32	32	12	9	4.46	1.15	202	193.2	45
2024	Philadelphia Phillies	33	33	14	8	3.57	1.20	197	199.1	50
2025	Philadelphia Phillies	17	17	5	10	6.01	1.35	97	94.1	28
2026	Philadelphia Phillies	18	18	3	6	5.87	1.46	94	92.0	29
Career	Totals	303	303	112	95	3.93	1.16	1970	1807.2	478

Source: MLB Stats API · Multi-team seasons show combined totals — click to expand

Minor League Pitching

Year	Team	G	GS	W	L	ERA	WHIP	K	IP	BB
2014	2 teams▼	12	11	4	3	2.93	1.07	45	55.1	10
2015	2 teams▼	18	18	10	4	2.39	1.05	92	109.1	18
2017	Lehigh Valley IronPigs	2	2	1	0	0.87	0.68	10	10.1	1
2025	Lehigh Valley IronPigs	3	3	0	1	2.19	1.14	17	12.1	3
Career	Totals	35	34	15	8	2.45	1.04	164	187.1	32

Source: MLB Stats API · Multi-team seasons show combined totals — click to expand

Game Log2026 season

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Pitching Analytics2026 season · via Baseball Savant

Click for year to year changes

FB Velo91.9 mph

Avg Spin2307 rpm

Whiff %26.8%

K %23.2%

BB %7.2%

Hard Hit %38.8%

Barrel %9.3%

xERA4.25

xBA Against0.25

xSLG Against0.427

BA Against0.285

SLG Against0.507

GB%40.2%

FB%27.4%

What These Stats Mean

FB Velo — Average fastball velocity. Harder throwers generate more swings and misses, setting up every other pitch in their arsenal. Velocity is the foundation of strikeout upside.

Avg Spin — Average spin rate across all pitches. Higher spin creates more movement and makes pitches harder to square up — elite spinners run better strikeout and batting average against numbers.

Whiff % — Swings-and-misses per swing. The most direct measure of a pitcher's ability to miss bats and the best leading indicator of strikeout rate.

K % — Strikeout rate per batter faced. The core fantasy pitching stat — high K% means reliable strikeout totals that hold up even in shorter starts.

BB % — Walk rate per batter faced. The primary control metric. High BB% tanks ERA and WHIP and keeps baserunners on constantly. Elite starters typically run below 7%.

Hard Hit % — Percentage of batted balls hit 95 mph or harder against. Low hard-hit% means weak contact, protecting both ERA and the defense behind the pitcher.

Barrel % — Percentage of batted balls barreled against. The most direct home run predictor — low barrel% pitchers rarely give up long balls.

xERA — Expected ERA based on contact quality allowed, removing the effect of sequencing, luck, and defense. Better predictor of future ERA than ERA itself.

xBA Against — Expected batting average opponents should hit based on contact quality. A gap between xBA and actual BA indicates unsustainable luck in either direction.

xSLG Against — Expected slugging allowed based on contact quality. High xSLG against predicts future extra-base damage; low xSLG means the pitcher is genuinely suppressing power.

BA Against — Actual batting average opponents are hitting — a key WHIP component. Check xBA to see if the number is sustainable.

SLG Against — Actual slugging allowed. Captures hits, doubles, triples, and home runs — lower means the pitcher is limiting the power damage he gives up.

GB% — Ground ball rate. High GB% pitchers generate double plays, limit home runs, and keep the ball in the park — great for protecting ERA and WHIP ratios.

FB% — Fly ball rate. High FB% pitchers give up more air contact — dangerous when combined with high exit velocity, less so when contact is soft.

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Year

Team

ERA

WHIP

2015

Philadelphia Phillies

3.59

1.20

77.2

2016

Philadelphia Phillies

4.78

1.31

121

111.0

2017

Philadelphia Phillies

3.54

1.21

184

168.0

2018

Philadelphia Phillies

2.37

0.97

224

212.1

2019

Philadelphia Phillies

3.87

1.27

229

202.1

2020

Philadelphia Phillies

3.28

1.08

71.1

2021

Philadelphia Phillies

4.63

1.13

223

180.2

2022

Philadelphia Phillies

3.25

0.96

235

205.0

2023

Philadelphia Phillies

4.46

1.15

202

193.2

2024

Philadelphia Phillies

3.57

1.20

197

199.1

2025

Philadelphia Phillies

6.01

1.35

94.1

2026

Philadelphia Phillies

5.87

1.46

92.0

Career

Totals

303

112

3.93

1.16

1970

1807.2

478

Year

Team

ERA

WHIP

2014

2 teams▼

2.93

1.07

55.1

2015

2 teams▼

2.39

1.05

109.1

2017

Lehigh Valley IronPigs

0.87

0.68

10.1

2025

Lehigh Valley IronPigs

2.19

1.14

12.1

Career

Totals

2.45

1.04

164

187.1