Brad Lord

Active

Washington Nationals · Pitcher

Age 266' 3" · 210 lbsThrows Right

FBaseball Overview

After a strong finish to his 2025 rookie season that earned him EAS Post-Season All-Star honors, Lord has shown meaningful improvement in his second year with a 3.31 ERA and 1.14 WHIP through 54 innings, demonstrating better command and consistency on the mound. His 51 strikeouts in limited innings suggest he maintains solid stuff, though his workload appears reduced compared to his fuller rookie campaign of 130+ innings. The Nationals are using him primarily as a starter rather than a closer, making him a depth play in wins and strikeouts rather than a saves source, with the upside coming from continued ERA gains if he can maintain this 2026 trajectory. The risk lies in his heavy reliance on health and stability—he'll need to prove he can sustain this improved efficiency over a full season before becoming a reliable fantasy asset in standard leagues.

MLB Pitching

Year	Team	G	GS	W	L	SV	ERA	WHIP	K	IP	BB
2025	Washington Nationals	48	19	5	10	0	4.34	1.29	108	130.2	43
2026	Washington Nationals	27	1	5	2	1	3.88	1.22	52	58.0	21
Career	Totals	75	20	10	12	1	4.20	1.27	160	188.2	64

Source: MLB Stats API · Multi-team seasons show combined totals — click to expand

Minor League Pitching

Year	Team	G	GS	W	L	SV	ERA	WHIP	K	IP	BB
2023	2 teams▼	27	17	4	6	1	4.04	1.33	84	104.2	28
2024	3 teams▼	25	25	10	4	0	2.43	1.20	135	129.2	49
Career	Totals	52	42	14	10	1	3.15	1.25	219	234.1	77

Source: MLB Stats API · Multi-team seasons show combined totals — click to expand

Game Log2026 season

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Pitching Analytics2026 season · via Baseball Savant

Click for year to year changes

FB Velo94.4 mph

Avg Spin2436 rpm

Whiff %20.7%

K %21.0%

BB %8.5%

Hard Hit %41.3%

Barrel %6.0%

xERA4.16

xBA Against0.246

xSLG Against0.393

BA Against0.227

SLG Against0.345

GB%58.6%

FB%18.9%

What These Stats Mean

FB Velo — Average fastball velocity. Harder throwers generate more swings and misses, setting up every other pitch in their arsenal. Velocity is the foundation of strikeout upside.

Avg Spin — Average spin rate across all pitches. Higher spin creates more movement and makes pitches harder to square up — elite spinners run better strikeout and batting average against numbers.

Whiff % — Swings-and-misses per swing. The most direct measure of a pitcher's ability to miss bats and the best leading indicator of strikeout rate.

K % — Strikeout rate per batter faced. The core fantasy pitching stat — high K% means reliable strikeout totals that hold up even in shorter starts.

BB % — Walk rate per batter faced. The primary control metric. High BB% tanks ERA and WHIP and keeps baserunners on constantly. Elite starters typically run below 7%.

Hard Hit % — Percentage of batted balls hit 95 mph or harder against. Low hard-hit% means weak contact, protecting both ERA and the defense behind the pitcher.

Barrel % — Percentage of batted balls barreled against. The most direct home run predictor — low barrel% pitchers rarely give up long balls.

xERA — Expected ERA based on contact quality allowed, removing the effect of sequencing, luck, and defense. Better predictor of future ERA than ERA itself.

xBA Against — Expected batting average opponents should hit based on contact quality. A gap between xBA and actual BA indicates unsustainable luck in either direction.

xSLG Against — Expected slugging allowed based on contact quality. High xSLG against predicts future extra-base damage; low xSLG means the pitcher is genuinely suppressing power.

BA Against — Actual batting average opponents are hitting — a key WHIP component. Check xBA to see if the number is sustainable.

SLG Against — Actual slugging allowed. Captures hits, doubles, triples, and home runs — lower means the pitcher is limiting the power damage he gives up.

GB% — Ground ball rate. High GB% pitchers generate double plays, limit home runs, and keep the ball in the park — great for protecting ERA and WHIP ratios.

FB% — Fly ball rate. High FB% pitchers give up more air contact — dangerous when combined with high exit velocity, less so when contact is soft.

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Year

Team

ERA

WHIP

2025

Washington Nationals

4.34

1.29

108

130.2

2026

Washington Nationals

3.88

1.22

58.0

Career

Totals

4.20

1.27

160

188.2

Year

Team

ERA

WHIP

2023

2 teams▼

4.04

1.33

104.2

2024

3 teams▼

2.43

1.20

135

129.2

Career

Totals

3.15

1.25

219

234.1