Bryan Abreu

Active

Houston Astros · Pitcher

Age 296' 1" · 230 lbsThrows Right

FBaseball Overview

After a strong 2025 campaign featuring a 2.28 ERA, 1.15 WHIP, and 105 strikeouts across 71 innings, Abreu enters 2026 in a relief role for Houston where he continues to accumulate saves and strikeout opportunities. Early 2026 performance shows concerning regression with a 6.00 ERA and 1.78 WHIP through 27 innings, suggesting the right-hander may be dealing with command issues or durability concerns that fantasy managers should monitor closely. His strikeout production remains respectable at a 11.3 K/9 rate, but the inflated ERA and WHIP make him a risky play in saves leagues until he demonstrates improved control. Given his All-Star pedigree and track record as a reliable reliever, there's potential for bounce-back value if the early-season struggles prove temporary, though his current 2026 trajectory warrants caution in most fantasy formats.

MLB Pitching

Year	Team	G	W	L	SV	ERA	WHIP	K	IP	BB
2019	Houston Astros	7	0	0	0	1.04	0.81	13	8.2	3
2020	Houston Astros	4	0	0	0	2.70	2.40	3	3.1	7
2021	Houston Astros	31	3	3	1	5.75	1.47	36	36.0	18
2022	Houston Astros	55	4	0	2	1.94	1.18	88	60.1	26
2023	Houston Astros	72	3	2	5	1.75	1.04	100	72.0	31
2024	Houston Astros	78	3	3	1	3.10	1.16	103	78.1	32
2025	Houston Astros	70	3	4	7	2.28	1.15	105	71.0	31
2026	Houston Astros	32	2	3	5	5.90	1.69	37	29.0	25
Career	Totals	349	18	15	21	2.91	1.22	485	358.2	173

Source: MLB Stats API · Multi-team seasons show combined totals — click to expand

Minor League Pitching

Year	Team	G	GS	W	L	SV	ERA	WHIP	K	IP	BB
2014	DSL Astros Orange	16	0	0	2	2	6.55	1.77	23	22.0	20
2015	DSL Astros Orange	14	10	2	2	0	3.83	1.35	48	51.2	36
2016	2 teams▼	13	4	2	5	0	4.89	1.53	41	38.2	20
2017	Greeneville Astros	8	6	1	3	0	7.98	1.70	40	29.1	21
2018	2 teams▼	14	7	6	1	3	1.49	1.03	90	54.1	23
2019	2 teams▼	23	16	7	2	2	4.83	1.35	126	91.1	54
2021	Sugar Land Skeeters	15	0	0	0	0	1.76	1.57	24	15.1	13
Career	Totals	103	43	18	15	7	4.34	1.39	392	302.2	187

Source: MLB Stats API · Multi-team seasons show combined totals — click to expand

Game Log2026 season

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Pitching Analytics2026 season · via Baseball Savant

Click for year to year changes

FB Velo95.1 mph

Avg Spin2474 rpm

Whiff %32.2%

K %27.6%

BB %18.7%

Hard Hit %50.7%

Barrel %8.7%

xERA5.31

xBA Against0.215

xSLG Against0.391

BA Against0.231

SLG Against0.471

What These Stats Mean

FB Velo — Average fastball velocity. Harder throwers generate more swings and misses, setting up every other pitch in their arsenal. Velocity is the foundation of strikeout upside.

Avg Spin — Average spin rate across all pitches. Higher spin creates more movement and makes pitches harder to square up — elite spinners run better strikeout and batting average against numbers.

Whiff % — Swings-and-misses per swing. The most direct measure of a pitcher's ability to miss bats and the best leading indicator of strikeout rate.

K % — Strikeout rate per batter faced. The core fantasy pitching stat — high K% means reliable strikeout totals that hold up even in shorter starts.

BB % — Walk rate per batter faced. The primary control metric. High BB% tanks ERA and WHIP and keeps baserunners on constantly. Elite starters typically run below 7%.

Hard Hit % — Percentage of batted balls hit 95 mph or harder against. Low hard-hit% means weak contact, protecting both ERA and the defense behind the pitcher.

Barrel % — Percentage of batted balls barreled against. The most direct home run predictor — low barrel% pitchers rarely give up long balls.

xERA — Expected ERA based on contact quality allowed, removing the effect of sequencing, luck, and defense. Better predictor of future ERA than ERA itself.

xBA Against — Expected batting average opponents should hit based on contact quality. A gap between xBA and actual BA indicates unsustainable luck in either direction.

xSLG Against — Expected slugging allowed based on contact quality. High xSLG against predicts future extra-base damage; low xSLG means the pitcher is genuinely suppressing power.

BA Against — Actual batting average opponents are hitting — a key WHIP component. Check xBA to see if the number is sustainable.

SLG Against — Actual slugging allowed. Captures hits, doubles, triples, and home runs — lower means the pitcher is limiting the power damage he gives up.

GB% — Ground ball rate. High GB% pitchers generate double plays, limit home runs, and keep the ball in the park — great for protecting ERA and WHIP ratios.

FB% — Fly ball rate. High FB% pitchers give up more air contact — dangerous when combined with high exit velocity, less so when contact is soft.

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Year

Team

ERA

WHIP

2019

Houston Astros

1.04

0.81

8.2

2020

Houston Astros

2.70

2.40

3.1

2021

Houston Astros

5.75

1.47

36.0

2022

Houston Astros

1.94

1.18

60.1

2023

Houston Astros

1.75

1.04

100

72.0

2024

Houston Astros

3.10

1.16

103

78.1

2025

Houston Astros

2.28

1.15

105

71.0

2026

Houston Astros

5.90

1.69

29.0

Career

Totals

349

2.91

1.22

485

358.2

173

Year

Team

ERA

WHIP

2014

DSL Astros Orange

6.55

1.77

22.0

2015

DSL Astros Orange

3.83

1.35

51.2

2016

2 teams▼

4.89

1.53

38.2

2017

Greeneville Astros

7.98

1.70

29.1

2018

2 teams▼

1.49

1.03

54.1

2019

2 teams▼

4.83

1.35

126

91.1

2021

Sugar Land Skeeters

1.76

1.57

15.1

Career

Totals

103

4.34

1.39

392

302.2

187