Caleb Durbin

Active

Boston Red Sox · Third Base

Age 265' 6" · 183 lbsBats Right

FBaseball Overview

The 26-year-old third baseman is coming off a solid rookie campaign in 2025 that showcased speed and power potential, posting 11 homers and 18 stolen bases while scoring 60 runs. However, his 2026 season has gotten off to a concerning start, with a significant dip in batting average (.231), reduced power production (7 HR in 247 AB), and fewer stolen base opportunities (9 SB), suggesting he may be struggling to maintain consistency at the major league level. While his speed remains a fantasy asset if he can turn things around and reclaim the batting average and run-scoring pace he showed as a rookie, managers should exercise caution given the early-season decline and wait for signs of stabilization before investing heavily. Look for Durbin to be a speculative deep-league option in standard formats, with his upside tied to whether he can regain the .256 average and 18-SB pace from 2025 as the season progresses.

MLB Hitting

Year	Team	G	AVG	HR	RBI	R	SB	OBP	SLG	OPS
2025	Milwaukee Brewers	136	.256	11	53	60	18	.334	.387	.721
2026	Boston Red Sox	81	.223	8	37	34	9	.284	.386	.670
Career	Totals	217	.244	19	90	94	27	.316	.386	.702

Source: MLB Stats API · Multi-team seasons show combined totals — click to expand

Minor League Hitting

Year	Team	G	AVG	HR	RBI	R	SB	OBP	SLG	OPS
2021	FCL Braves	17	.268	0	6	8	12	.339	.304	.643
2022	2 teams▼	105	.241	8	62	72	31	.352	.372	.724
2023	2 teams▼	69	.304	4	25	46	36	.395	.427	.822
2024	3 teams▼	90	.275	10	60	61	31	.388	.451	.839
2025	Nashville Sounds	13	.278	2	3	12	3	.316	.481	.797
Career	Totals	294	.269	24	156	199	113	.371	.411	.782

Source: MLB Stats API · Multi-team seasons show combined totals — click to expand

Game Log2026 season

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Analytics2026 season · via Baseball Savant

Click for year to year changes

EV Avg84.7 mph

Max EV107.7 mph

Launch Angle10.2°

Barrel %3.1%

K %14.4%

Hard Hit %29.8%

Whiff %16.3%

Chase %28.0%

xBA0.232

xSLG0.328

xwOBA0.28

GB%51.3%

LD%22.1%

FB%15.9%

What These Stats Mean

EV Avg — Average exit velocity — how hard this batter hits the ball. Elite hitters (90+ mph) make consistently hard contact, driving better batting averages and more power.

Max EV — Peak exit velocity on the batter's hardest-hit ball this season. Signals raw power potential even without a high HR total yet.

Launch Angle — Average vertical angle of the ball off the bat. The sweet spot for extra-base hits is roughly 10–30°; extreme ground ball or pop-up hitters sit outside this range.

Barrel % — Percentage of batted balls hit with the optimal exit velocity + launch angle combo. Barrels are the single best predictor of home runs and slugging percentage.

K % — Strikeout rate per plate appearance. High K% suppresses batting average and limits run-scoring opportunities — lower is better for fantasy.

Hard Hit % — Percentage of batted balls hit 95 mph or harder. A broader power indicator than barrels; high hard-hit% players rack up extra-base hits and RBI.

Sprint Speed — Peak sprint speed in feet per second. The best predictor of stolen base upside and ability to leg out infield hits.

Whiff % — Percentage of swings that miss. High whiff rates signal strikeout vulnerability, dragging down batting average and overall production.

Chase % — How often the batter swings at pitches outside the strike zone. Low chase rates mean elite plate discipline — more walks, fewer strikeouts, more consistent at-bats.

xBA — Expected batting average based on contact quality, stripping out luck and defensive positioning. Better predictor of future performance than actual batting average.

xSLG — Expected slugging based on batted ball data. A high xSLG relative to actual SLG suggests power suppressed by bad luck that's likely to bounce back.

xwOBA — Expected weighted on-base average — the most comprehensive single expected metric. Combines contact quality, walks, and strikeouts to project overall offensive production.

GB% — Ground ball rate. High GB% hitters trade home run power for speed-dependent value — good for stolen base upside, but a drag on HR and SLG categories.

LD% — Line drive rate. High LD% hitters make consistent hard contact; line drives are the batted ball type most likely to fall for hits and boost batting average.

FB% — Fly ball rate. Elite power hitters combine high FB% with high exit velocity. High fly ball rate + soft contact = home run or nothing type.

Loading player data...

Year

Team

AVG

RBI

OBP

SLG

OPS

2025

Milwaukee Brewers

136

.256

.334

.387

.721

2026

Boston Red Sox

.223

.284

.386

.670

Career

Totals

217

.244

.316

.386

.702

Year

Team

AVG

RBI

OBP

SLG

OPS

2021

FCL Braves

.268

.339

.304

.643

2022

2 teams▼

105

.241

.352

.372

.724

2023

2 teams▼

.304

.395

.427

.822

2024

3 teams▼

.275

.388

.451

.839

2025

Nashville Sounds

.278

.316

.481

.797

Career

Totals

294

.269

156

199

113

.371

.411

.782