Casey Mize

Active

San Diego Padres · Pitcher

Age 296' 3" · 212 lbsThrows Right

#263 Current#275 Preseason#220 Dynasty

FBaseball Overview

Coming off an AL All-Star season in 2025, this 29-year-old right-hander continues to deliver solid strikeout production with 139 K's last year while maintaining a respectable 3.87 ERA across 149 innings. Early 2026 performance suggests he's improving his efficiency, posting a 2.63 ERA and 0.97 WHIP through 65 innings, indicating tighter command and potentially lower ERA values moving forward. Fantasy managers can expect consistent innings and strikeouts from a mid-rotation starter, though his win-loss record remains modest (14-6 in 2025, 3-5 early in 2026), making him more valuable in points-based leagues that reward ERA and strikeout totals. The key risk is durability—monitor his workload closely—but the upside lies in further ERA improvement if his early-season metrics hold steady.

News Updates

Casey Mize Struggles in Padres Debut
Pitcher Casey Mize had a rough outing in his first appearance with the San Diego Padres, surrendering eight runs on nine hits and three walks across just 3.1 innings against the Diamondbacks. The recent acquisition was unable to provide length or stability in the game, which San Diego lost 10-4. This poor debut raises concerns about his fantasy value moving forward with his new team.
Aug 6, 2026
Casey Mize Earns Fourth Win Against Rangers
Detroit Tigers pitcher Casey Mize recorded his fourth win of the season Sunday against Texas, allowing two runs on five hits and two walks while striking out four over 6.2 innings. Mize's solid start helped lead the Tigers to a victory and continues his development as a rotation anchor.
Jul 6, 2026

MLB Pitching

Year	Team	G	GS	W	L	ERA	WHIP	K	IP	BB
2020	Detroit Tigers	7	7	0	3	6.99	1.48	26	28.1	13
2021	Detroit Tigers	30	30	7	9	3.71	1.14	118	150.1	41
2022	Detroit Tigers	2	2	0	1	5.40	1.50	4	10.0	2
2024	Detroit Tigers	22	20	2	6	4.49	1.47	78	102.1	29
2025	Detroit Tigers	28	28	14	6	3.87	1.27	139	149.0	36
2026	2 teams▼	23	23	5	9	3.70	1.11	107	119.1	29
Career	Totals	112	110	28	34	4.09	1.25	472	559.1	150

Source: MLB Stats API · Multi-team seasons show combined totals — click to expand

Minor League Pitching

Year	Team	G	GS	W	L	ERA	WHIP	K	IP	BB
2018	2 teams▼	5	5	0	1	3.95	1.17	14	13.2	3
2019	2 teams▼	21	21	8	3	2.55	0.94	106	109.1	23
2022	Toledo Mud Hens	1	1	0	0	40.50	6.00	0	0.2	0
2024	Toledo Mud Hens	4	4	0	0	2.63	1.02	17	13.2	4
2026	Lakeland Flying Tigers	1	1	0	0	1.80	0.80	5	5.0	1
Career	Totals	32	32	8	4	2.85	0.99	142	142.1	31

Source: MLB Stats API · Multi-team seasons show combined totals — click to expand

Game Log2026 MLB

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Advanced Stats2026 season · via Baseball Savant

Click for year to year changes

FB Velo93.4 mph

Avg Spin2091 rpm

Whiff %24.3%

K %22.0%

BB %6.0%

Hard Hit %39.7%

Barrel %8.3%

xERA3.47

xBA Against0.229

xSLG Against0.379

BA Against0.230

SLG Against0.398

GB%32.8%

FB%32.2%

What These Stats Mean

FB Velo — Average fastball velocity. Harder throwers generate more swings and misses, setting up every other pitch in their arsenal. Velocity is the foundation of strikeout upside.

Avg Spin — Average spin rate across all pitches. Higher spin creates more movement and makes pitches harder to square up — elite spinners run better strikeout and batting average against numbers.

Whiff % — Swings-and-misses per swing. The most direct measure of a pitcher's ability to miss bats and the best leading indicator of strikeout rate.

K % — Strikeout rate per batter faced. The core fantasy pitching stat — high K% means reliable strikeout totals that hold up even in shorter starts.

BB % — Walk rate per batter faced. The primary control metric. High BB% tanks ERA and WHIP and keeps baserunners on constantly. Elite starters typically run below 7%.

Hard Hit % — Percentage of batted balls hit 95 mph or harder against. Low hard-hit% means weak contact, protecting both ERA and the defense behind the pitcher.

Barrel % — Percentage of batted balls barreled against. The most direct home run predictor — low barrel% pitchers rarely give up long balls.

xERA — Expected ERA based on contact quality allowed, removing the effect of sequencing, luck, and defense. Better predictor of future ERA than ERA itself.

xBA Against — Expected batting average opponents should hit based on contact quality. A gap between xBA and actual BA indicates unsustainable luck in either direction.

xSLG Against — Expected slugging allowed based on contact quality. High xSLG against predicts future extra-base damage; low xSLG means the pitcher is genuinely suppressing power.

BA Against — Actual batting average opponents are hitting — a key WHIP component. Check xBA to see if the number is sustainable.

SLG Against — Actual slugging allowed. Captures hits, doubles, triples, and home runs — lower means the pitcher is limiting the power damage he gives up.

GB% — Ground ball rate. High GB% pitchers generate double plays, limit home runs, and keep the ball in the park — great for protecting ERA and WHIP ratios.

FB% — Fly ball rate. High FB% pitchers give up more air contact — dangerous when combined with high exit velocity, less so when contact is soft.

Loading player data...

Year

Team

ERA

WHIP

2020

Detroit Tigers

6.99

1.48

28.1

2021

Detroit Tigers

3.71

1.14

118

150.1

2022

Detroit Tigers

5.40

1.50

10.0

2024

Detroit Tigers

4.49

1.47

102.1

2025

Detroit Tigers

3.87

1.27

139

149.0

2026

2 teams▼

3.70

1.11

107

119.1

Career

Totals

112

110

4.09

1.25

472

559.1

150

Year

Team

ERA

WHIP

2018

2 teams▼

3.95

1.17

13.2

2019

2 teams▼

2.55

0.94

106

109.1

2022

Toledo Mud Hens

40.50

6.00

0.2

2024

Toledo Mud Hens

2.63

1.02

13.2

2026

Lakeland Flying Tigers

1.80

0.80

5.0

Career

Totals

2.85

0.99

142

142.1