Emilio Pagán

Active

Cincinnati Reds · Pitcher

Age 356' 2" · 208 lbsThrows Right

FBaseball Overview

At 35 years old, this veteran right-hander operates in a relief role for Louisville and offers modest closing opportunities with six saves through early 2026, though his 6.43 ERA and 1.43 WHIP represent a significant decline from his strong 2025 campaign when he posted a 2.88 ERA with 32 saves. His strikeout rate has dipped considerably (11 K in 14 innings this season versus 81 K in 68.2 innings last year), suggesting age-related deterioration in stuff and effectiveness that fantasy managers should closely monitor. While his multiple All-Star selections demonstrate he's been a reliable contributor throughout his career, the dramatic downturn in performance and his late-career status make him a risky proposition in 2026 unless he shows signs of stabilization in the coming weeks.

MLB Pitching

Year	Team	G	GS	W	L	SV	ERA	WHIP	K	IP	BB
2017	Seattle Mariners	34	0	2	3	0	3.22	0.93	56	50.1	8
2018	Oakland Athletics	55	0	3	1	0	4.35	1.19	63	62.0	19
2019	Tampa Bay Rays	66	0	4	2	20	2.31	0.83	96	70.0	13
2020	San Diego Padres	22	0	0	1	2	4.50	1.05	23	22.0	9
2021	San Diego Padres	67	0	4	3	0	4.83	1.17	69	63.1	18
2022	Minnesota Twins	59	0	4	6	9	4.43	1.37	84	63.0	26
2023	Minnesota Twins	66	1	5	2	1	2.99	0.95	65	69.1	21
2024	Cincinnati Reds	38	1	4	5	1	4.50	1.34	44	38.0	11
2025	Cincinnati Reds	70	0	2	4	32	2.88	0.92	81	68.2	22
2026	Cincinnati Reds	17	0	2	1	7	6.46	1.50	13	15.1	8
Career	Totals	494	2	30	28	72	3.74	1.08	594	522	155

Source: MLB Stats API · Multi-team seasons show combined totals — click to expand

Minor League Pitching

Year	Team	G	GS	W	L	SV	ERA	WHIP	K	IP	BB
2013	2 teams▼	20	0	1	1	12	1.03	0.87	35	26.1	6
2014	Clinton LumberKings	42	0	2	3	16	2.89	1.02	62	56.0	14
2015	Bakersfield Blaze	42	0	3	8	8	2.53	1.15	88	78.1	27
2016	2 teams▼	41	0	5	3	10	2.49	1.17	84	65	29
2017	Tacoma Rainiers	23	0	2	1	5	2.56	0.85	36	31.2	8
2018	Nashville Sounds	5	0	1	0	0	3.00	0.83	11	6.0	0
2019	Durham Bulls	4	1	0	0	2	0.00	1.00	10	6.0	4
2024	Louisville Bats	3	0	0	0	1	6.00	0.67	3	3.0	0
2026	Louisville Bats	2	1	0	0	0	0.00	0.50	0	2.0	0
Career	Totals	182	2	14	16	54	2.43	1.05	329	274.1	88

Source: MLB Stats API · Multi-team seasons show combined totals — click to expand

Game Log2026 season

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Pitching Analytics2026 season · via Baseball Savant

Click for year to year changes

FB Velo94.5 mph

Avg Spin2194 rpm

Whiff %26.5%

K %18.6%

BB %11.4%

Hard Hit %57.4%

Barrel %10.6%

xERA5.20

xBA Against0.239

xSLG Against0.479

BA Against0.263

SLG Against0.509

What These Stats Mean

FB Velo — Average fastball velocity. Harder throwers generate more swings and misses, setting up every other pitch in their arsenal. Velocity is the foundation of strikeout upside.

Avg Spin — Average spin rate across all pitches. Higher spin creates more movement and makes pitches harder to square up — elite spinners run better strikeout and batting average against numbers.

Whiff % — Swings-and-misses per swing. The most direct measure of a pitcher's ability to miss bats and the best leading indicator of strikeout rate.

K % — Strikeout rate per batter faced. The core fantasy pitching stat — high K% means reliable strikeout totals that hold up even in shorter starts.

BB % — Walk rate per batter faced. The primary control metric. High BB% tanks ERA and WHIP and keeps baserunners on constantly. Elite starters typically run below 7%.

Hard Hit % — Percentage of batted balls hit 95 mph or harder against. Low hard-hit% means weak contact, protecting both ERA and the defense behind the pitcher.

Barrel % — Percentage of batted balls barreled against. The most direct home run predictor — low barrel% pitchers rarely give up long balls.

xERA — Expected ERA based on contact quality allowed, removing the effect of sequencing, luck, and defense. Better predictor of future ERA than ERA itself.

xBA Against — Expected batting average opponents should hit based on contact quality. A gap between xBA and actual BA indicates unsustainable luck in either direction.

xSLG Against — Expected slugging allowed based on contact quality. High xSLG against predicts future extra-base damage; low xSLG means the pitcher is genuinely suppressing power.

BA Against — Actual batting average opponents are hitting — a key WHIP component. Check xBA to see if the number is sustainable.

SLG Against — Actual slugging allowed. Captures hits, doubles, triples, and home runs — lower means the pitcher is limiting the power damage he gives up.

GB% — Ground ball rate. High GB% pitchers generate double plays, limit home runs, and keep the ball in the park — great for protecting ERA and WHIP ratios.

FB% — Fly ball rate. High FB% pitchers give up more air contact — dangerous when combined with high exit velocity, less so when contact is soft.

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Year

Team

ERA

WHIP

2017

Seattle Mariners

3.22

0.93

50.1

2018

Oakland Athletics

4.35

1.19

62.0

2019

Tampa Bay Rays

2.31

0.83

70.0

2020

San Diego Padres

4.50

1.05

22.0

2021

San Diego Padres

4.83

1.17

63.1

2022

Minnesota Twins

4.43

1.37

63.0

2023

Minnesota Twins

2.99

0.95

69.1

2024

Cincinnati Reds

4.50

1.34

38.0

2025

Cincinnati Reds

2.88

0.92

68.2

2026

Cincinnati Reds

6.46

1.50

15.1

Career

Totals

494

3.74

1.08

594

522

155

Year

Team

ERA

WHIP

2013

2 teams▼

1.03

0.87

26.1

2014

Clinton LumberKings

2.89

1.02

56.0

2015

Bakersfield Blaze

2.53

1.15

78.1

2016

2 teams▼

2.49

1.17

2017

Tacoma Rainiers

2.56

0.85

31.2

2018

Nashville Sounds

3.00

0.83

6.0

2019

Durham Bulls

0.00

1.00

6.0

2024

Louisville Bats

6.00

0.67

3.0

2026

Louisville Bats

0.00

0.50

2.0

Career

Totals

182

2.43

1.05

329

274.1