Jonathan Aranda

Active

Tampa Bay Rays · First Base

Age 286' 0" · 215 lbsBats Left

FBaseball Overview

After earning his first All-Star selection in 2025 with a stellar .316 average and 59 RBIs, this 28-year-old first baseman enters 2026 as an established offensive contributor for Tampa Bay. His early-season production shows a slight dip in batting average (.286) compared to last year, though he maintains power output with 13 home runs and 57 RBIs through 290 at-bats, suggesting he remains on pace for a solid full season. Fantasy managers can count on consistent run production and a high batting average from this left-side corner infielder, though the lack of stolen base upside limits his ceiling in categories beyond the traditional counting stats. The primary risk lies in his dependence on batting average for overall value—any regression from his .300+ baseline could significantly impact his fantasy relevance, but his proven track record at the plate and 2025 All-Star caliber production offer legitimate upside heading into the season.

MLB Hitting

Year	Team	G	AVG	HR	RBI	R	OBP	SLG	OPS
2022	Tampa Bay Rays	32	.192	2	6	10	.276	.321	.597
2023	Tampa Bay Rays	34	.230	2	13	13	.340	.368	.708
2024	Tampa Bay Rays	44	.234	6	14	22	.308	.430	.738
2025	Tampa Bay Rays	106	.316	14	59	56	.393	.489	.882
2026	Tampa Bay Rays	87	.283	13	58	45	.384	.447	.831
Career	Totals	303	.277	37	150	146	.366	.443	.809

Source: MLB Stats API · Multi-team seasons show combined totals — click to expand

Minor League Hitting

Year	Team	G	AVG	HR	RBI	R	SB	OBP	SLG	OPS
2016	DSL Rays 1	49	.257	1	17	23	5	.345	.366	.711
2017	2 teams▼	50	.287	0	15	24	14	.345	.348	.693
2018	2 teams▼	45	.269	1	29	26	0	.337	.391	.728
2019	3 teams▼	66	.272	3	35	32	1	.359	.383	.742
2021	2 teams▼	100	.330	14	65	73	5	.418	.543	.961
2022	Durham Bulls	104	.318	18	85	71	4	.394	.521	.915
2023	Durham Bulls	95	.339	25	81	82	2	.449	.613	1.062
2024	Durham Bulls	32	.237	7	19	22	0	.368	.424	.792
Career	Totals	541	.302	69	346	353	31	.390	.480	.870

Source: MLB Stats API · Multi-team seasons show combined totals — click to expand

Game Log2026 season

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Analytics2026 season · via Baseball Savant

Click for year to year changes

EV Avg90.7 mph

Max EV111.4 mph

Launch Angle13.5°

Barrel %9.7%

K %22.6%

Hard Hit %44.1%

Whiff %22.3%

Chase %27.5%

xBA0.266

xSLG0.45

xwOBA0.364

GB%38.2%

LD%28.2%

FB%29.8%

What These Stats Mean

EV Avg — Average exit velocity — how hard this batter hits the ball. Elite hitters (90+ mph) make consistently hard contact, driving better batting averages and more power.

Max EV — Peak exit velocity on the batter's hardest-hit ball this season. Signals raw power potential even without a high HR total yet.

Launch Angle — Average vertical angle of the ball off the bat. The sweet spot for extra-base hits is roughly 10–30°; extreme ground ball or pop-up hitters sit outside this range.

Barrel % — Percentage of batted balls hit with the optimal exit velocity + launch angle combo. Barrels are the single best predictor of home runs and slugging percentage.

K % — Strikeout rate per plate appearance. High K% suppresses batting average and limits run-scoring opportunities — lower is better for fantasy.

Hard Hit % — Percentage of batted balls hit 95 mph or harder. A broader power indicator than barrels; high hard-hit% players rack up extra-base hits and RBI.

Sprint Speed — Peak sprint speed in feet per second. The best predictor of stolen base upside and ability to leg out infield hits.

Whiff % — Percentage of swings that miss. High whiff rates signal strikeout vulnerability, dragging down batting average and overall production.

Chase % — How often the batter swings at pitches outside the strike zone. Low chase rates mean elite plate discipline — more walks, fewer strikeouts, more consistent at-bats.

xBA — Expected batting average based on contact quality, stripping out luck and defensive positioning. Better predictor of future performance than actual batting average.

xSLG — Expected slugging based on batted ball data. A high xSLG relative to actual SLG suggests power suppressed by bad luck that's likely to bounce back.

xwOBA — Expected weighted on-base average — the most comprehensive single expected metric. Combines contact quality, walks, and strikeouts to project overall offensive production.

GB% — Ground ball rate. High GB% hitters trade home run power for speed-dependent value — good for stolen base upside, but a drag on HR and SLG categories.

LD% — Line drive rate. High LD% hitters make consistent hard contact; line drives are the batted ball type most likely to fall for hits and boost batting average.

FB% — Fly ball rate. Elite power hitters combine high FB% with high exit velocity. High fly ball rate + soft contact = home run or nothing type.

Loading player data...

Year

Team

AVG

RBI

OBP

SLG

OPS

2022

Tampa Bay Rays

.192

.276

.321

.597

2023

Tampa Bay Rays

.230

.340

.368

.708

2024

Tampa Bay Rays

.234

.308

.430

.738

2025

Tampa Bay Rays

106

.316

.393

.489

.882

2026

Tampa Bay Rays

.283

.384

.447

.831

Career

Totals

303

.277

150

146

.366

.443

.809

Year

Team

AVG

RBI

OBP

SLG

OPS

2016

DSL Rays 1

.257

.345

.366

.711

2017

2 teams▼

.287

.345

.348

.693

2018

2 teams▼

.269

.337

.391

.728

2019

3 teams▼

.272

.359

.383

.742

2021

2 teams▼

100

.330

.418

.543

.961

2022

Durham Bulls

104

.318

.394

.521

.915

2023

Durham Bulls

.339

.449

.613

1.062

2024

Durham Bulls

.237

.368

.424

.792

Career

Totals

541

.302

346

353

.390

.480

.870