Matt Wallner

Active

St. Paul Saints · Outfielder

Age 286' 4" · 220 lbsBats Left

#285 Preseason

FBaseball Overview

After a disappointing start to 2026 with a .167 average across 120 at-bats, this 28-year-old corner outfielder faces significant fantasy headwinds despite showing moderate power upside with 4 home runs. His 2025 season demonstrated legitimate 20-homer potential with 22 homers and 40 RBIs in a full campaign, but the current year's struggles have eroded both his batting average outlook and run-scoring contributions. The primary concern is consistency at the plate—his sub-.210 career batting average makes him a risky source of batting average points, though his ability to chip in power, RBIs, and occasional runs keeps him relevant in deeper leagues. For 2026, he projects as a bench bat or end-of-roster flier in most formats, with upside only if he can stabilize his contact rate and recapture last year's power production.

MLB Hitting

Year	Team	G	PA	AB	AVG	HR	RBI	R	SB	K	OBP	SLG	OPS
2022	Minnesota Twins	18	65	57	.228	2	10	4	1	25	.323	.386	.709
2023	Minnesota Twins	76	254	213	.249	14	41	42	2	80	.370	.507	.877
2024	Minnesota Twins	75	261	220	.259	13	37	26	3	95	.372	.523	.895
2025	Minnesota Twins	104	392	336	.202	22	40	47	4	114	.311	.464	.775
2026	Minnesota Twins	34	135	120	.167	4	10	14	0	53	.259	.292	.551
Career	Totals	307	1107	946	.223	55	138	133	10	367	.333	.461	.794

Source: MLB Stats API · Multi-team seasons show combined totals — click to expand

Minor League Hitting

Year	Team	G	PA	AB	AVG	HR	RBI	R	SB	K	OBP	SLG	OPS
2019	Cedar Rapids Kernels	12	53	44	.205	2	6	7	0	14	.340	.455	.795
2021	2 teams▼	68	300	264	.265	15	47	41	0	100	.350	.504	.854
2022	2 teams▼	128	571	458	.277	27	95	90	9	170	.412	.541	.953
2023	St. Paul Saints	67	305	254	.291	11	47	50	0	87	.403	.524	.927
2024	St. Paul Saints	67	297	259	.259	19	53	45	5	91	.343	.544	.887
2025	St. Paul Saints	6	27	25	.320	5	13	8	0	6	.370	.960	1.330
2026	St. Paul Saints	87	383	321	.259	24	71	55	7	105	.371	.530	.901
Career	Totals	435	1936	1625	.270	103	332	296	21	573	.380	.535	.915

Source: MLB Stats API · Multi-team seasons show combined totals — click to expand

Game Log2026 MLB

Loading game log…

Advanced Stats2026 season · via Baseball Savant

Click for year to year changes

EV Avg88.4 mph

Max EV110.3 mph

Launch Angle8.1°

Barrel %10.4%

K %39.3%

Hard Hit %40.3%

Sprint Speed26.0 ft/s

Bat Speed75.2 mph

Whiff %44.0%

Chase %31.6%

xBA0.200

xSLG0.333

xwOBA0.281

What These Stats Mean

EV Avg — Average exit velocity — how hard this batter hits the ball. Elite hitters (90+ mph) make consistently hard contact, driving better batting averages and more power.

Max EV — Peak exit velocity on the batter's hardest-hit ball this season. Signals raw power potential even without a high HR total yet.

Launch Angle — Average vertical angle of the ball off the bat. The sweet spot for extra-base hits is roughly 10–30°; extreme ground ball or pop-up hitters sit outside this range.

Barrel % — Percentage of batted balls hit with the optimal exit velocity + launch angle combo. Barrels are the single best predictor of home runs and slugging percentage.

K % — Strikeout rate per plate appearance. High K% suppresses batting average and limits run-scoring opportunities — lower is better for fantasy.

Hard Hit % — Percentage of batted balls hit 95 mph or harder. A broader power indicator than barrels; high hard-hit% players rack up extra-base hits and RBI.

Sprint Speed — Peak sprint speed in feet per second. The best predictor of stolen base upside and ability to leg out infield hits.

Bat Speed — Average swing speed at the point of contact. Faster bat speed lets hitters wait longer on pitches and generates more raw power potential.

Whiff % — Percentage of swings that miss. High whiff rates signal strikeout vulnerability, dragging down batting average and overall production.

Chase % — How often the batter swings at pitches outside the strike zone. Low chase rates mean elite plate discipline — more walks, fewer strikeouts, more consistent at-bats.

xBA — Expected batting average based on contact quality, stripping out luck and defensive positioning. Better predictor of future performance than actual batting average.

xSLG — Expected slugging based on batted ball data. A high xSLG relative to actual SLG suggests power suppressed by bad luck that's likely to bounce back.

xwOBA — Expected weighted on-base average — the most comprehensive single expected metric. Combines contact quality, walks, and strikeouts to project overall offensive production.

GB% — Ground ball rate. High GB% hitters trade home run power for speed-dependent value — good for stolen base upside, but a drag on HR and SLG categories.

FB% — Fly ball rate. Elite power hitters combine high FB% with high exit velocity. High fly ball rate + soft contact = home run or nothing type.

Loading player data...

Year

Team

AVG

RBI

OBP

SLG

OPS

2022

Minnesota Twins

.228

.323

.386

.709

2023

Minnesota Twins

254

213

.249

.370

.507

.877

2024

Minnesota Twins

261

220

.259

.372

.523

.895

2025

Minnesota Twins

104

392

336

.202

114

.311

.464

.775

2026

Minnesota Twins

135

120

.167

.259

.292

.551

Career

Totals

307

1107

946

.223

138

133

367

.333

.461

.794

Year

Team

AVG

RBI

OBP

SLG

OPS

2019

Cedar Rapids Kernels

.205

.340

.455

.795

2021

2 teams▼

300

264

.265

100

.350

.504

.854

2022

2 teams▼

128

571

458

.277

170

.412

.541

.953

2023

St. Paul Saints

305

254

.291

.403

.524

.927

2024

St. Paul Saints

297

259

.259

.343

.544

.887

2025

St. Paul Saints

.320

.370

.960

1.330

2026

St. Paul Saints

383

321

.259

105

.371

.530

.901

Career

Totals

435

1936

1625

.270

103

332

296

573

.380

.535

.915