Trevor Rogers

Active

Baltimore Orioles · Pitcher

Age 286' 5" · 230 lbsThrows Left

FBaseball Overview

After a breakout 2025 season that earned him AL Pitcher of the Month honors, Rogers enters 2026 as a potential fantasy anchor in ERA and WHIP despite early-season struggles reflected in his 4.99 ERA and 1.31 WHIP through 79 innings. The 28-year-old's track record—including his 2021 All-Star selection and Marlins Rookie of the Year award—suggests his 1.81 ERA and 0.90 WHIP from last year are more indicative of his true talent level than his current stat line. Rogers projects to deliver 12-15 wins and 90-110 strikeouts over a full season, making him valuable in ratios and counting stats, though fantasy managers should monitor his command moving forward as he seeks to recapture last year's elite form. The transition to Baltimore and early inconsistency present short-term volatility, but his pedigree and strikeout ability offer meaningful upside if he can stabilize his ERA.

MLB Pitching

Year	Team	G	GS	W	L	ERA	WHIP	K	IP	BB
2020	Miami Marlins	7	7	1	2	6.11	1.61	39	28.0	13
2021	Miami Marlins	25	25	7	8	2.64	1.15	157	133.0	46
2022	Miami Marlins	23	23	4	11	5.47	1.50	106	107.0	45
2023	Miami Marlins	4	4	1	2	4.00	1.22	19	18.0	6
2024	2 teams▼	25	25	2	11	4.92	1.58	97	124.1	56
2025	Baltimore Orioles	18	18	9	3	1.81	0.90	103	109.2	29
2026	Baltimore Orioles	16	16	6	7	4.70	1.32	65	84.1	29
Career	Totals	118	118	30	44	3.95	1.30	586	604.1	224

Source: MLB Stats API · Multi-team seasons show combined totals — click to expand

Minor League Pitching

Year	Team	G	GS	W	L	ERA	WHIP	K	IP	BB
2018	Greensboro Grasshoppers	17	17	2	7	5.82	1.56	85	72.2	27
2019	2 teams▼	23	23	6	10	2.90	1.14	150	136.1	33
2021	Jupiter Hammerheads	2	2	1	0	0.00	0.84	12	8.1	3
2022	2 teams▼	4	4	1	1	6.19	1.19	25	16	2
2023	2 teams▼	2	2	1	0	0.00	0.44	12	9	2
2024	Norfolk Tides	5	5	1	2	5.65	1.22	30	28.2	9
2025	2 teams▼	8	8	0	3	5.51	1.56	29	32.2	9
Career	Totals	61	61	12	23	4.15	1.26	343	303.2	85

Source: MLB Stats API · Multi-team seasons show combined totals — click to expand

Game Log2026 season

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Pitching Analytics2026 season · via Baseball Savant

Click for year to year changes

FB Velo93.4 mph

Avg Spin2180 rpm

Whiff %22.9%

K %18.1%

BB %8.1%

Hard Hit %39.5%

Barrel %6.9%

xERA4.13

xBA Against0.251

xSLG Against0.403

BA Against0.251

SLG Against0.404

GB%37.9%

FB%25.4%

What These Stats Mean

FB Velo — Average fastball velocity. Harder throwers generate more swings and misses, setting up every other pitch in their arsenal. Velocity is the foundation of strikeout upside.

Avg Spin — Average spin rate across all pitches. Higher spin creates more movement and makes pitches harder to square up — elite spinners run better strikeout and batting average against numbers.

Whiff % — Swings-and-misses per swing. The most direct measure of a pitcher's ability to miss bats and the best leading indicator of strikeout rate.

K % — Strikeout rate per batter faced. The core fantasy pitching stat — high K% means reliable strikeout totals that hold up even in shorter starts.

BB % — Walk rate per batter faced. The primary control metric. High BB% tanks ERA and WHIP and keeps baserunners on constantly. Elite starters typically run below 7%.

Hard Hit % — Percentage of batted balls hit 95 mph or harder against. Low hard-hit% means weak contact, protecting both ERA and the defense behind the pitcher.

Barrel % — Percentage of batted balls barreled against. The most direct home run predictor — low barrel% pitchers rarely give up long balls.

xERA — Expected ERA based on contact quality allowed, removing the effect of sequencing, luck, and defense. Better predictor of future ERA than ERA itself.

xBA Against — Expected batting average opponents should hit based on contact quality. A gap between xBA and actual BA indicates unsustainable luck in either direction.

xSLG Against — Expected slugging allowed based on contact quality. High xSLG against predicts future extra-base damage; low xSLG means the pitcher is genuinely suppressing power.

BA Against — Actual batting average opponents are hitting — a key WHIP component. Check xBA to see if the number is sustainable.

SLG Against — Actual slugging allowed. Captures hits, doubles, triples, and home runs — lower means the pitcher is limiting the power damage he gives up.

GB% — Ground ball rate. High GB% pitchers generate double plays, limit home runs, and keep the ball in the park — great for protecting ERA and WHIP ratios.

FB% — Fly ball rate. High FB% pitchers give up more air contact — dangerous when combined with high exit velocity, less so when contact is soft.

Loading player data...

Year

Team

ERA

WHIP

2020

Miami Marlins

6.11

1.61

28.0

2021

Miami Marlins

2.64

1.15

157

133.0

2022

Miami Marlins

5.47

1.50

106

107.0

2023

Miami Marlins

4.00

1.22

18.0

2024

2 teams▼

4.92

1.58

124.1

2025

Baltimore Orioles

1.81

0.90

103

109.2

2026

Baltimore Orioles

4.70

1.32

84.1

Career

Totals

118

3.95

1.30

586

604.1

224

Year

Team

ERA

WHIP

2018

Greensboro Grasshoppers

5.82

1.56

72.2

2019

2 teams▼

2.90

1.14

150

136.1

2021

Jupiter Hammerheads

0.00

0.84

8.1

2022

2 teams▼

6.19

1.19

2023

2 teams▼

0.00

0.44

2024

Norfolk Tides

5.65

1.22

28.2

2025

2 teams▼

5.51

1.56

32.2

Career

Totals

4.15

1.26

343

303.2